Next update: March 17th
*Best Financial Educational Provider, International Finance Awards.**

Upcoming Zoom seminars 10am-4.30pm venue: Your Place!
BEGINNERS/IMPROVERS April 27th

If you want more than the book and see me do it live, come and spend a day with me and live markets online! See trades from my own accounts, research, level 2, and finding great shares from scratch. Plus how to use spreadbetting for further profits. Also psychology, websites to use, when to buy and when not with live examples, building portfolios and tons more, no experience necessary and no question too stupid! And chat to me direct. Also chatroom all day. For more details, costs etc email at robbiethetrader@aol.com with "April seminar interested"

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Entertainment, fun and shares discussed with me on podcast NT5 - tune in
to the NT Radio Show 5, includes some shares not mentioned here!

https://soundcloud.com/thenakedtrader/nt5/

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I feel really sick about today re the start of war as I am sure all of you do.

I thought this morning not to send any update.

It felt maybe wrong to talk about making /losing money when others are losing their lives.

If I hadn't written some of it the other day I probably would have not sent anything
today.

But in the end I thought I would send you what I wrote yesterday and Tuesday before the invasion happened this morning.

I'll tidy everything up with more trades and stuff next time.

From here is what I wrote earlier in the week then:

As always, look forwards to meeting some of you online on March 2nd and on March 9th for the follow up.

Those of you signed up to the beginners/improvers on the 2nd will get a questionaire over the weekend, if you could answer some of the questions would be grateful as it helps me to decide what we'll cover.

I'll be sending some "Homework" to those of you attending the follow up/ more advanced one on the 9th, looking forwards to seeing some of you again, I am sure some great ideas will come up on how to tackle more difficult markets. And obviously there should be lots of bargains to choose from.

The mrs and her sister got one of the bumpy flights coming back from Ireland and it was a roller coaster landing at Heathrow.

Quietly of course I was selfishly glad I wasn't on it.

Even though I love Aircrash Investigation and know all flights land safely even in bad wind I hate bumpy landings.

Nothing can be as bad as being in one of those old Flybe turbo planes.
You were always grateful to still be alive at the end. No wonder they went bust.

Though my worst flight happened before the plane took off a few years ago.

Sitting down in the plane I realised I'd left my jacket at Starbucks with £800 cash and all the important documents.

Cue a crazy dash back through departures - I think I panicked a lot of people on the way.

But the jacket was still there. Another crazy dash back - I just made it with seconds to spare. I'd take a bumpy landing over that.

Fascinating documentary btw on Netflix on how Boeing took its eye off the ball which culminated in the two Air Max crashes, have reviewed the show below somewhere.

I am due to take my first flight in 2 years next month.

I am a bit scared, not because of a potential crash or turbulence, the back still has pain so sitting is still difficult but I do need to challenge myself and get away from "safety".

The only way to train the brain to turn off the pain.

Been improving though over the last months without any treatments or medication.

Thanks a lot for recent online seminar feedback!
.. Such as this from Phil:

"The seminar was delivered with huge integrity (there was Zero hidden agenda/ulterior motives, it was simple and open with some great laughs thrown in)

As much as I found myself trying to complicate the process and make it more sophisticated in my own tiny brain.

You brought it back to, Keep Things Simple. Do Your Own Research. Trade without emotion and above all, trade the market you find"¦ not what you or some pundit thinks it should be.

You also took the time to answer "every" question anyone posed. And it was every question.
Loads of shares ideas to boot, but more importantly the process to find your own.
Brilliant!
Big thanks also Elizabeth, you made the whole process seamless and free flowing; and kept the attendees and Robbie on course."

Thanks Andrew - we have got rather experienced at running them on zoom now!

Claire mailed me with some feedback on the seminar which she attended.

"Thanks for a fantastic seminar, I learned a lot and got every question I could think of answered. I think the most beneficial thing to me was just seeing with my own eyes how you go through the process of picking shares to buy and witnessing your thought process as you go through and also being able to ask questions as they arise. The system you and Elizabeth have for answering all the questions is fabulous & means you depart the maximum amount of information that is humanly possible in one day! The next day I just wished I was doing the course again instead of going back to work as it seemed dull in comparison."

Thanks Claire! It was a lovely group with a great sense of humour.

Jas, thanks for your mail as you've been to two zoom seminars.

"Just wanted to say thank you for a couple of wonderful seminars.
Your seminars were brilliant. Delivered methodically and with just a simple honest approach to dealing with the markets. You've helped me immensely in sorting my trading plan out and finding a good and profitable way to trade. After many months trying to figure out level 2, you sorted that out in one afternoon.

Since the seminar, I have placed 5 trades, 2 have closed out with profits and 3 are still running with profits. All trades placed using fundamental research and not Youtube videos
from David:

"Well it doesn't happen often, but I am absolutely speechless! I don't think I have ever spent a more worthwhile day nor spent money more wisely and gladly.

I for one was practically at the point of orgasm all day in my enjoyment and appreciation of what you were presenting! Even though I have read NT time and again, to see you going through the process of stock assessment over and over was incalculably useful and I managed to take six A4 pages of notes during the day. I was fascinated to learn about (and see) Level 2 in action and learn more about Spread "˜Betting'.

I thought the presentation balance was perfection, and Elizabeth was a complete star with her very well-judged handling of the questions....

.....This is a rather long-winded way of saying thank you so much to both of you - today was one of the top five most enjoyable days of my life, and I greatly look forward to joining you again!"

Next is April 27th online, mail for details.

It's all grim stuff regarding Ukraine.

Putin may as well be sitting there stroking his sidekick fluffy cat as he really has become a Bond villain that is sadly real.

It is all totally shocking and horrible and I am sure all our thoughts go out to the poor people of Ukraine as they wonder if they are about to get attacked.

It seems a similar thing as if England was to invade Wales.

Let's hope nothing happens.

I'm pretty much on board with getting used to living with Covid.

It is time for people to make personal decisions about what precautions to take.

We went out last week to this members club restaurant thing we belong to which also has a lovely cinema.

It was so busy. The boss said it's the busiest since covid.

Not a mask in sight and everything seemed back to normal.

You'd never know covid had happened.

It was the same with the local restaurants, all packed, every single one on a weeknight.

Looks like in our part of the world anyhow people of all ages are shrugging their shoulders and getting on with life.

Cheaters (*****) BBC1

Congrats to the Beeb for pulling off its best comedy since Pulling.

Genuinely hilarious, lovely lines and in quite fun 8 minute chunks.

Seen all the 18 episodes now and it keeps up the lively pace throughout.

Well done to all involved especially as it was filmed during covid which must have been a nightmare.

Laugh after laugh delivered and the 8 minute episodes work well.

The Fear Index (**) Sky Atlantic
(Spoilers ahead)

Arrrggh, seen it all now and it remained a disappointment though the very last episode did pick up.

I remember the original book being a gripping read and a financial thriller with a rogue AI computer causing a stock market crash and even knowing a plane was about to explode to short an airline being a brilliant storyline.

But the series was too manic and I couldn't get over the fact the head of security never checked with the boss that he really meant to have surveillance in his own bedroom.

Four In A Bed (****) Ch 4
This is my secret pleasure!

Last week a couple slagged everyone else's places and refused to return.

Of course this inevitably led to the others saying they wouldn't return either and gave them poor scores. Na na!

This show reveals how terrible we all are at getting criticism (we take it even worse if we know deep down the criticism is true) but also how we just can't help getting our own back.

It also makes me feel so glad I don't have to run a b and b - way too hard! My advice: don't run any business which involves dealing face to face with the public!

Downfall: The Case Against Boeing (****) Netflix
Fascinating film about the crashes of the Boeing Max jets.

It looks at why the crashes happened - negligence from Boeing basically, money saving.

It's really a look at corporate greed and how the pursuit of bigger bonuses led to so many deaths. Might be worth watching so you can decide for yourself whether to fly on a max.

Ozark (****) Netflix

I enjoyed this series which is like Breaking Bad but not quite at its level.

This is the new fourth series and if you liked Breaking Bad might be worth seeing this from series 1.

A dysfunctional family ends up laundering money for a drugs cartel and ends up in all sorts of trouble.

Excellent performances all round and some gripping cliffhangers. Give it a go (the third series is more *** though).

Chloe (****) BBC1
A remarkable performance from Erin Doherty.

The way she switches from one character to the other is fabulous.

Not seen the final episode but it has been very entertaining so far though I do imagine the too nice so far politician probably will end up a baddie.

Louis Theroux's Hidden America (**) BBC2
Ho hum. It's a bit same old here. Trouble is he's known now in America and so his subjects are aware of his game.

First episode was better than the second because who cares about a feud between a few US rappers?

The bit where he pretends to like the music and then does a dad rap is pretty embarrassing.

If you want to hear an NT "posh rap" performed by newsreader Ben Ftse then click here and go to 1.44. https://soundcloud.com/thenakedtrader/nt5

Tracey someone or other is giving out more sex advice.

"Add a clamp" she says. I don't get this one.

Does she mean park your car illegally so it gets a clamp then you have sex while watching the clamp go on?

"Get her to wear vibrating panties"

Ok, does that mean putting her phone in there on vibrate
mode then calling it?

My advice is give it a time limit for a thrill!

As in: "Match of the Day starts in five minutes so you'd better get on with it."

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***

Sharescope/SharePad It has lots of great research tools, it is well laid out and it has pre-tax profit forecasts which I find very handy. You can also upgrade to level 2 and real time prices.

For more, including a video on what's offered plus a no quibble 30 day money back guarantee and a month or two months free go to this link:

https://sharescope.co.uk/nakedtrader

NEW: 20 per cent off Research Tree
Research Tree is a site that offers broker notes on shares, indepth with all the financials and target prices. So if a company reports, you can see what the brokers think - and you can also see the upgrades and downgrades. Plus the top shorted shares, a news feed and lots more.

To access the discount, set up a free account at research-tree.com. To get a full account click "upgrade" to the package you'd like and for the 20% discount type "nakedtrader" into the discount code box. Enjoy!

25% off Stockopedia and free trial
Stockopedia is indeed like a stock market encyclopedia and a great place to scan for new shares to buy, check out fundamentals...there is even a stock screen loosely based on my criteria! You can try it for free too.

For your 25% discount off any sub (eg £56 discount off UK sub) and free 14 day trial you need this link:
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Level 2 through me it is only £462 for your first year including VAT!
This compares to £ 638.88 direct from advfn so this deal saves you £176.88!
ADVFN's bronze subscription - normally £97.53 pa - available from me for only £66! (inc vat) That's a saving of £30! You get ADVFN's premium top lists which I think are a must for finding great stock picks. That includes great lists like ex dividend dates, plus chart breakouts and downs. All as explained in the book.
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The deal is via me you can save nearly £40 for your first year by paying just £186 inc vat via me instead of £229.30
Just mail me at robbiethetrader@aol.com if you'd like any of these with "advfn offers" in the subject line. Please note if you want to discontinue the sub you need to give a month's notice by post. L2 offer includes silver and bronze.

Website to your email PLUS extra trades which do not make it to the
website for my pension

If you'd like the website material sent to your mailbox so you
get everything before the site itself is updated every other Thursday
plus one or two exclusive extra higher risk trades not featured on the
site mail me at robbiethetrader@aol.com with "email" in the
subject line and I will send you details on how to subscribe.

EMAILS: I do beg you not to send me emails asking me for advice on a particular share. It isn't legal for me to give you individual advice and all I do is send you a mail saying that, which wastes a lot of my time and yours too.

****
COPYING TRADES: I can't stop you from copying a trade I made but remember the price may already be a lot higher than I paid indeed I hope it is as buying at good prices is what I do for a living. You may be buying at the top and could easily lose money. Also I can make terrible mistakes and have done in the past. I could also sell before you or before the share tanks. I may still be holding in a year when you sold at a loss. Always do your own research, don't jump in blindly. Market makers are very clever at knowing how to make you pay top dollar and then push you out at a loss. This site is about sensible investment and learning how to trade sensibly and is not a tipping site. Beware. Never push buy on anything till you've done proper research and got yourself a sensible price.

Podcast 5:

https://soundcloud.com/thenakedtrader/nt5/

Includes lots of chat about shares, scams, how to be a dragon to make money, plus a £100 competition, top tens, spot the intros, nostalgia corner and loads of laughs. Plus experienced investors have tips for beginners and investment ideas - settle down and spend
some time with the Naked Trader!

As I mentioned above I am really confused today.

I feel so sorry for those in Ukraine, all those young people will die if this escalates.

My problem here is that I am not even sure I should be doing a markets update at all and I wondered whether it was better to not have one.

After all we are all ok here in the UK. No-one is coming for us.

And I worry about saying "I made this, I bought this, I lost that and oh the war might be a buying opportunity."

Smug old me in my warm safe UK home.

It just feels a bit horrible talking about money when this is going on.

But I wrote some of the markets report yesterday and Tuesday as I had the dentist
today and wanted the day clear especially as having a tooth out.

In the end I think I will leave you with what I wrote the other day and leave it at that.

I just feel too sick about the war to finish the update or write anything today.

I hope you all think this is ok and I am not being heartless.

So please remember the following was written earlier this week when I didn't really think (stupidly) Putin would go in.

***From here: written earlier in the week. ***

If you think I should not have
written anything about money today, then please don't read.
How do we allow a few rabid blokes in charge of countries to have so much power to screw it for the rest of us?

And how do the worst rise to the top everywhere?

Think of any country and then think: HOW can that person be the leader? I guess the sh1t rises to the top somehow.

It was quite chilling to see thug Putin sitting there with his acolytes.

He is such a scary psycho. Talk about dead eyes.

Anyway, the markets will stay unsettled and volatile till things settle down or there is some certainty and if you are a beginner reading this either wait or go in with very small sums for now.

Fear will push shares down then greed up again.

Also there is a lot of uncertainty which the market hates.

Will there be a war?

Is he bluffing? If not, how bad might it be?

Unknowns always means a bad market for a time.

But... if you hold quality shares (reasonable pe, low debt good prospects) it could be a plan to just hold on through a few scared pullbacks.

The market actually doesn't really care about war if it thinks the economic consequences won't really be that much in the end.

Indeed it you bought near the beginning of any war or crisis over the last couple of decades and held, it would have been a good time to buy.

After all, everything has been marked down and most for no real reason except fear.

After all Bloomsbury isn't going to sell less books, ADF will carry on shooting films.

So markdowns can be a time to buy - but you need courage!

Personally I will wait, maybe there will be further markdowns.

A bit like, you know there's a sale on but you're pretty sure in a couple of weeks you'll get an email offering you a further 20% off the sale prices.

For now, I have done a little Dow shorting, I am in a lot of cash but I think I will hold onto my top quality shares as I do think they will recover.

I'm also beginning to make a list of potential bounceback shares which we
will look at on March 2 and 9 for any of you coming online for the seminars.

What always gives me courage not to panic and just sell everything is all the seminars I've done and all the crises and all the panic during those.

Yet every single time on those bad down days at those seminars if we'd bought during fear we'd have made loads.

Indeed I vividly remember a seminar in March 2009, it was the peak of fear but we did a lot of live buying that day, there were so many bargains.

I remember we bought a share at 150p which by 2012 was 1200p!

The main thing is buy quality, don't get involved with jam tomorrow companies or anything with a big debt.

It amazes me how many companies would simply fail right now if they their debt was called in. I reckon probably at least 20pc.

For example Pret A Manger literally should no longer exist.

The trouble with chains is they stop great independents from coming on the scene.

I never use any of the chains.

My local deli provides sandwiches, salads and breakfasts vastly superior to Pret.

Pret sandwiches seem all to be mayo sandwiches and the salads are mainly bits of lettuce.

Search out your local independent and use it!
Though I am not buying much right now as waiting for a good time to get in,
I did buy some Indivior. INDV

This one is mainly involved with anti opioids.

It benefited from strong sales of Sublocade, its next-generation injectable anti-opioid treatment, which nearly doubled to $244 million.

As well as strong sales, what could lift the share price is going for a US listing and dumping the UK one.

There is little doubt a listing switch could give the shares a big re-rating as shares like this get much higher ratings over there.

It would also bring in a lot more US investors and funds and I think this would be a good move especially as 80pc of its revenues come from the US anyway.

It's the US where so many are hooked on these terribly addictive opioids.

So this is also where the growth should come from.

I've tucked some of these away hoping for a future announcement of a listings switch for a decent boost to the share price.

Going to try and hold onto it during the current melee.

Given I seem to be making more money from shorts than buys for now I've been spending more time actively looking for shorts where previously I found shorts while looking for investments.

Stockopedia is very handy for spotting red flags especially its "bankrupcy" meter which has been a very accurate measure of companies that are running into debt pressure.

One such is retailer Joules. A nice company which I like with a British heritage but for now is under pressure so I've shorted.

I don't intend to be short for ever as it does have recovery potential but for now, it could sink further.

It has a host of pressures including the supply chain, inflation and staffing.

It's recently had a profits warning with the most alarming part is the increase in net debt to over £20m - it has £11.5m of headroom left.

It needs to get debt under control and it is implementing measures to do that.

Stockopedia's z score rates Joules as having a serious risk of financial distress within the next two years.

It fails on a number of things including its liquid assets and its liabilities.

I'll be looking closely live at how to use stocko to find red flags at the online seminar next week to find shorts or avoid buying for now companies under pressure.

Be interesting to see what we can find.

(For a free 14 day trial and a big discount for the fantastic stockopedia go here:
https://www.stockopedia.com/nakedtrader/

What's interesting about these computer algos is they just look at figures and remove human emotions from the equation.

Of course they can be wrong about the future prospects of a company but they're a decent place to start.

When I saw the results from Aston Martin where I am heavily short I thought "Oh no this looks good, going to have to take profits".

I saw things like "sales well ahead", "significant growth". And lots of bullish commentary.

But then I had a closer look at the actual figures. And what did they say?

Net debt up from a massive £726m to an even more massive £896m!

Losses were more than halved but they were still £213m and a loss of £87m forecast for 2023. Yet the shares are valued at over £1bn.

I reckon they are realistically only worth half that.

The shares rose initially on the bullish announcement which gave me a chance to short some more.

I reckon at best shares should be around the 500p mark.

The lesson here is don't pay much attention to a company's own commentary - look at the cold hard figures and make a judgement from those.

An "analyst" email popped in "Aston Martin accelerating" and it was totally biased mentioning ebita cash profits going up.

Strangely no word on headline losses or the massive rise in net debt.

The analyst seemed to miss that out. I wonder why? I mailed her to query it but no response.

I suggested "Aston's debt accelerates" would be a more accurate heading.

Perhaps another lesson, treat all "analysts" with extreme suspicion!

I have had a go at shorting the Dow. I am wary as it moves so fast but maybe I
will catch a break on it.

I have set wide stops, will let you know if I get anywhere. I assume if war
breaks out it will tank.

Of course I would be more happy to take losses on the Dow and for
there not to be a war.

I am not sure where I stand morally. Is shorting making profits from
other people's misery? Maybe? No, I am running a business?

It seemed sensible to take profits on travel plays Easyjet and Jet2com for
now as they both went a lot higher than I thought for now.

Both should be another buy soon. Easy profit £1,954 and Jet
£ 2,526.

I've generally increased shorts and am now in a lot of cash awaiting buys once the market starts to rise again.

Good luck with however you play it right now.

Sometimes the best move can be to do nothing.

Or buy the dips on your favourites. Or cash up and sit it out.

There isn't a right answer - I hope you can get through without too many
losses and remember maybe they will only be paper ones.

There are definitely a lot of bargains to be out there.

Be back on March 17th with an update once the seminars are done.

Can you guess today's NT Word puzzle "Wordel" (TM)

Just unjumble this well known word: cefitk

Did you get it?

The answer: feckit.

Btw the way this word is well known to stock market traders on seeing all their shares going down.

If you are a newspaper wishing to buy my game Wordel (TM) please do get in touch.

I am currently writing a TV series based on my father's "breaking bad" lifestyle in the 60s - if you are an experienced screenwriter or an agent or anything like that who could help me and/or know how to go about selling it do contact me.

It has drama and cliffhangers galore based on eyepopping things that really happened.

I use Interactive Investor for my sipp and it is pretty decent. It has a refer a friends thing, so you'd get £125 off its fees and I would get £200 into my account. Seems like a win win, but only applies to isa or standard trading accounts of £10k plus.

So, if you wanna be my friend, mail me and will tell you how to get the discount.

If you want to be my lover, then you gotta get with my friends first. Got it?

Upcoming Zoom seminars 10am-4.30pm venue: Your Place!
BEGINNERS/IMPROVERS April 27th

If you want more than the book and see me do it live, come and spend a day with me and live markets online! See trades from my own accounts, research, level 2, and finding great shares from scratch. Plus how to use spreadbetting for further profits. Also psychology, websites to use, when to buy and when not with live examples, building portfolios and tons more, no experience necessary and no question too stupid! And chat to me direct. Also chatroom all day. For more details, costs etc email at robbiethetrader@aol.com with "April seminar interested"

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FOLLOW UP March 9th
Only for those who're been to a seminar before. Lots of live trading, your picks, supply and demand, share screening, spreadbetting and general discussions based on whatever is happening in the market at the time. And join some very experienced investors with their views/thoughts.

Mail me with "follow up interested" in the subject line.

If you would like to go to two or all of the above you could try and get a discount with Elizabeth!

Sharescope/SharePad It has lots of great research tools, it is well laid out and it has pre-tax profit forecasts which I find very handy. You can also upgrade to level 2 and real time prices.

For more, including a video on what's offered plus a no quibble 30 day money back guarantee and a month or two months free go to this link:

https://sharescope.co.uk/nakedtrader
Stockopedia as ever is SO useful. It really is a must have! And some fantastic talented writers/commentators too like Paul Scott.

Brilliant stats on all shares, amazing stock screens and lots more.
https://stockopedia.com/nakedtrader
gets you a big discount and 14 days free trial.
Don't forget my new podcast here - (comp is closed)

https://soundcloud.com/thenakedtrader/nt5/

Money Week offer:

Money Week is a decent magazine which I get as well as the IC.

Shares wise there are quite a few features every week including what a fund manager is buying, all the tips from the papers are covered including places like the Telegraph, Times, Mail, Shares Mag etc and also IPOs are covered.

There is also a decent property and travel section. Also coverage of topics like pension planning, tech, spending and current and future economics.

The kind of mag I enjoy reading in the bath and I always find something that makes me have a think, and that's quite hard for me..

On the link there is also a decent discount so it's around £28-£32 for 13 issues depending on whether the mag is sent to you by post or digital or both. Personally I like an old fashioned mag for bath reading!

So- if you want the free six weekly issues and a discount the link is here:
https://www.moneyweek.com/TNT

Do let me know if any probs with getting the discount or freebies.

Spreadco is still paying 2pc interest up to £20,000 free cash which I enjoy getting and as we saw at the seminar its spreads on ftse 350 shares and the ftse always seem to be tightest.

https://www.spreadco.com/nakedtrader to open an account under Akeel.

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Trades made for my sipp are exclusively available on my
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NT Radio show 5, the latest: https://soundcloud.com/thenakedtrader/nt5

The Naked Trader Radio Show number four
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Show three is here:
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The first show: https://soundcloud.com/thenakedtrader/radioshow2018
If you are thinking of A ftse trade try https://www.spreadco.com/nakedtrader
as their spread is the tightest at 0.8. Also very pleased with execution - FTSE cos the cheapest spreads there too.

It is hard to find a firm that does prices on the very small companies but this company does: https://www.spreadex.com/nakedtrader
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Trade tables follow! Trades are current open and recently closed trades. Closed trades feature the closing price and the amount I won or lost. All others are open. Trades get updated a little later than the narrative. Trading costs are ignored, however I also do not add in dividend payments and with the kinds of companies I buy, dividends tend to equal or outweigh costs. Spread rollovers ignored for web purposes. Tables as accurate as poss however a mistake or two can creep in and very occasionally if I forgot I sold or bought something it will be added at a later time. Trades first reported in the diary under Markets every other Thursday afternoon.