Will staff get their revenge?
November 15, 2018
BEGINNER/IMPROVER SEMINAR: SPEND A DAY WITH ME AND LIVE MARKETS
DEC 3rd NEAR HEATHROW CLOSE TO AIRPORT
If you want more than the book and see me do it live, come and spend a day with me and live markets. (beginners and improvers welcome). If a beginner there is guaranteed no jargon!
See trades from my own accounts, research, level 2, and finding great shares from scratch and tons more. Three course lunch, snacks, drinks,lots of chocolate, banter and fun with me live all day. And a good look at Santa rally!
**Best Financial Educational Provider, International Finance Awards.**
Mail me at robbiethetrader with " Dec seminar interested" and I'll send you details. There is a decent early bird discount.
Follow up: Dec 10 You must have been to a seminar before
to qualify for this day of live trading, research, supply and demand
and a whole lot more. Mail me with "Follow up interested".
Santa rally examined in depth at both events! (And
a special Xmas lunch!)
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Website material delivered to your email early plus an extra
exclusive trade or two on update days in the NT email, mail
me at robbiethetrader with "email interested" in]subject
line and will send you details.
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Looking forwards to seeing some of you for the beginner/improver
seminar on the 3rd Dec (there is still space) and some
very familiar faces at the follow up on the 10th (hardly
any space left).
At both we'll be studying the potential Xmas rally which is
always interesting. And at both a Xmas lunch awaits.
As I won't be having an Xmas lunch on the day itself I can
fill my greedy guts at the two events.
If you are coming on Dec 3rd and if you are going to answer
the questionaire, please send answers in by Nov 26th, your
answers really help to know what to cover on the day.
Some very interesting answers so far which have given me a lot
of food for thought and some ideas for the day. See you
all there, turkey, crackers, waffles,
Starbucks coffee, mini full English breakfasts and more await!
It's your last chance to contribute to the
the Xmas and New Year NT radio show which I'll be
recording soon. You could win £50 !
Just mail me with anything you like: especially
any new year resolutions generally
and or financially!
And what makes you feel "bah humbug" about Xmas?
How are you spending the day and what are your
feelings about new year's eve? How was your year
of trading, any screw ups or lessons learned?
Contributions welcome at robbiethetrader You could
get a mention on the new show and £50 for the best
contribution.
It's been a couple of weeks of hard work for me again!
The Mrs' broken arm means I now continue as head of the
household. Everyone is suffering food wise except for the
cats who got an unexpected bonus when I went to the
pet shop to buy food.
I picked up loads of cans and got a shock at the bill. Apparently
I have bought the most expensive cat food in history.
Tescos value for them next time," I joked to the assistant.
Ah but does Tesco value provide 80% meat?" said the
owner grimly. Anyhow the cats are very happy and asked
how long the broken arm was going to last.
I'm getting used to daily visits to m and s to buy food.
Getting used to "cooking" (microwave is a handy thing).
Doris, an elderly lady I call every week for the charity Silverline has
been extremely helpful.
She knows everything about M and S food, what's best,
how to get money off, all the tricks.
She pretty much has sorted me out for what to buy and
when and how to cook it.
Doris and me have similar tastes in food (mostly puddings)
so doing some charity work is having some unexpected
benefits.
If you want to sign up and chat to lonely elderly down the
phone it's
We can't get out much because of the Mrs
broken arm so social engagements have gone
out of the window for a bit.
Oh, all those nice meals I'm missing with friends.
But just before the accident, we went to "fine dining" restaurant
we've been going to over many years.
Quality is always good though the price keeps creeping up. Used to be £35 for three courses in the old days now it has gone up
to £58. I guess they are deciding whether to break the
£60 barrier. Might as well go for it. £64 anyone?
What a disappointment. All I can remember is a stick
of broccoli a carrot and some sauce and a weird
ice cream.
I was so hungry afterwards I had to have a Big Mac on the
way home.
(I had forgotten how horrible they are and got the dreaded
Big Mac "kickback" later.)
I try hard not to write negative reviews about anything unless
it is really bad. I don't want to screw up anyone's business. After
all it could be a bad night or a book just might not be to my taste.
But I thought I would this time. Especially as we complained a bit
to deaf ears.
But Mrs NT thought best to write to the boss. She wrote
we
were writing to him rather than putting up a public review.
Two days later we were offered to come back free. Given
that for two it's £120 that is quite some freebie. So congrats
to Mrs NT.
Also a friend gave me a voucher for a Michelin star restaurant
for my birthday so two freebies await once the arm is better.
Though I did suddenly have a terrible thought. The staff
will know we got a freebie because we complained. So
will the chef.
What if the chef has a resentment and well, you know... has
a little wee wee or something on the pudding? Or something
in that department?
Ha ha complaining bastards! Get a load of that!" as the chef
laughs evilly. I haven't mentioned this to the Mrs so rather
hoping she doesn't read this. (Don't tell her if you know her as I'll
take the chance.)
Put it this way I am going to check the food very well before
touching it. I'll let you know how it goes. Our special
tonight, Mr Burns, Chef Piss Pudding.
The whole of last weekend was a total right off. As the Mrs
can't drive I had to drive to pick up my son from boarding
school on Saturday watch him play football then down
the M4 at 30mph in teeming rain.
Sunday!! Had to leave the house at 6.30am to get to
Euston to travel to Liverpool to watch our team Fulham
for a noon kick off. Got back home at 7.30pm.
I begged my son to give me a break. "Come on," I said.
What is the point? Mo Salah will thrash our non existent
defence? Is this worth 6 hours on a horrible cramped
Virgin train smelling of fast food and wee?"
I even offered £50 if we didn't go. (How do you rate
my parenting skills then?)
No - loyalty even if you are bottom of the league is the
main thing. (Ps his price was £200).
Anyway we did get thrashed by Salah. Liverpool's ground
though felt full of history. The people of Liverpool are
fantastic, great humour.
The chap meant to be searching us didn't bother. He said he
only pretended to do it when the boss was watching.
The cab driver said there was a 20 year waiting list for
season tickets (cost over £1,000) . This meant the younger
families never got to go.
I saw what he meant. Average age of the crowd was ancient
and very few kids. That is a bit of a shame. Problem is
Liverpool fandom comes from across the country rather
than locally. Perhaps that's why there seemed little
atmosphere. Or maybe they thought playing a bit of a crap
team like ours was boring.
It certainly makes our Fulham season tickets (£300 for
me and £85 for him seem pretty good value!)
Though can't go to every game like we used to as he's
playing football for his school most Saturdays.
Space still available for the beginners and
improvers seminar on Dec 3rd.
And for the follow up for those
that have been, Dec 10th. The Xmas rally will
feature in depth at both!
Mail me at robbiethetrader
for details with "dec seminar interested" or
follow up interested" in the subject line.
Thanks to you all for feedback on the events and I know some of you
are already happily following the rules.
It seems self-obsessed to print all the feedback but why not
just one from Paul...
Thanks for a brilliant day. It provided much needed focus
which was refreshing and enjoyable. The venue was
great, food excellent and I would highly recommend
the seminars to others."
Thanks Paul.
Naked Rambling
Donald Trump cares more about his hair than
anything else. That weird silky hamster on his head.
The obvious reason he didn't want to go out in the
rain, is if it gains rained on, his hair disappears.
I don't know what he just doesn't wear a hat. Maybe
he is scared of the headline "Prat in the hat"?
By the way us baldies are the last people you can still
take the piss out of.
For example on gogglebox two bald guys faced off in a quiz.
Battle of the baldies" says a viewer. Let's say they'd been
fat. He wouldn't have said "Battle of the fatties".
I don't care personally - call us what you like. Just saying!
Xmas crap. There I said it. The crap rolls in, brochures,
rotten gift catalogues full of crap that will end up in
landfill next year.
Thank goodness we will be somewhere warm and sunny!
And also now our son is 14 we won't have to buy any
landfill gifts.
Top gift this year? Apparently one of them is an electric
scooter. Kids will love them.
There is only one problem - I read it's illegal to
use them on the roads - oh... and pavements!
There are either going to be a lot of disappointed kids
or.. a lot of them will end up behind bars!
The Spice Girls are back? We all know what they
really, really want. A massive load of cash and fast.
I am ready for 10am on Friday to try and get some Seinfeld
tickets. One of the funniest guys ever. So is the mrs.
If only ticket touts could be eradicated as I am sure the
tickets will in a few hours be online at silly prices.
Same with Spice Girl tickets I guess.
Just when you thought teams in the Apprentice really couldn't
get any worse.. they do.
How could anyone with just common sense alone call a
would be airline Pop Air with an explosion graphic between
the Pop and the Air. Bonkers.
And using the song "Highway to Hell". In an airline ad.
No wonder airline heads rocked with hysterical mirth when
the pitches were revealed. And let's not even start on
the 70s dolly bird uniforms. And these designed by a woman!
This woman (Jackie) must have a very decent business idea
that Lord A wants, so expect her in the final three!
I'm A Celebrity will really be worth watching with Harry Redknapp
in it. One of the worst ever football managers he is going
to provide a lot of entertainment. Please do not
vote him out till near the end!
Same with Noel Edmonds. Now that will be fascinating?
What's he really like? Bonkers? Weird? Or great?
Now I know and you know the show is crap. And I tend
to fast forward the trials. It's the off guard chatting
in between that is always entertaining.
Informer continues to be a cracking series, very nicely
done.
Better Call Saul though really is a class on its own and it's
great now as we head closer towards the events in
Breaking Bad.
And talking Breaking Bad, there is going to be a movie.
There is no news yet as to whether the main man
himself will be in it but other characters will.
Even if it's not that good it will be better than most
I suspect. I'll keep an eye out for further news on it.
SEMINAR NEWS
New date Dec 3 near Heathrow
Email me for details at robbiethetrader with "Dec seminar interested". There is a large early bookers discount.
Beginners and improvers welcome. Come and spend the day with me, the markets and some lovely people - and of course, lunch, lots of sugary snacks.
My seminars are designed for beginners, dabblers and improvers and deals with everything from how to look for winners, how to research, spreadbetting, level 2 use how to time trades and short, how to use advfn properly and run your portfolio without having to spend money on systems and tipsters.. and tons more.
A lot of the day comes directly from the live markets and I show you many of the tricks I use to get good prices live. And there might even be the odd live trade or 2!
Some recent feedback:
He actually takes you candidly right into the mental process involved in his successful trading, making it a pretty amazing display, even showing his own investment accounts right there on the screen. This is a genuine coaching session in how to trade like him if you put in the graft. My advice therefore would be to sign up for this while he is still prepared to do it.'
When I signed up to your course my goal was to make 20% p.a., I've achieved that in less than six months. Your course was pretty much going to be my last attempt at trading, So once again thank you, it's by far the best money I've ever spent on trading education and probably on education full stop."
I felt we were in for a long day of numbers, PowerPoints and dry talk.
Instead, what we got was fascinating and enjoyable mix of punchy insights, merriment and wise-cracks, sharp wit, and to the point no nonsense advice. I sat down at 9:45am and didn't look at the time again until way after 8pm at which point I had to drag myself away."
I read your books and understood the words "" however I was missing that final nugget of knowledge "" actually seeing you valuate a company and make that buy/no buy decision live means I now get it."
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Market conditions remain quite tricky and I'm rather
happy I have well over half a million parked away
in cash for now.
Beginners certainly might want to hold off till say
mid December. The volatility on most shares means
it can be easy to suddenly be in a major losing position
unless you have exited fast.
And stop losses are tricky too on a lot of shares, it is
so volatile it's best to either exit fast or hold on. Or else
get stopped out just as it rises again!
My guess is those that did well earlier in the year may
suddenly find themselves struggling.
It's likely to remain choppy for a while though
from December things are usually calmer.
There are several potential market movers lurking about
to make things harder with the main problem, Brexit.
It's been a bonkers week. It's obvious why ministers
working on Brexit keep resigning.
There isn't any Brexit plan possible that isn't going
to make things worse than they are now. It never
was possible.
You can only ever get a bad deal. Or worse, a no deal.
This was never going to end well. Love to see the deal
Jacob Rich-Mogg would have come up with. I feel sorry
for Mrs May having to deal with all.
But the whole sorry saga really throws a totally new spanner in the works as it's so unpredictable like working out which kid is going
to win when they are all fighting in the playground.
Hands up who has had enough of Brexit! Is that all
of you?
Perhaps the soundtrack to Brexit should be the
one chosen by The Apprentice candidate to launch
a new airline: "Highway To Hell".
That's just one of the reasons I expect to stay in
big cash for a while longer, be very wary about what
to buy and if wrong quit fast.
After all, why not just wait on some cash and see how it
pans out over the next while? Patience can pay and
having a lot of cash on the side for now gives firepower
for later.
There is so much that could go wrong politically, or
right. Things could tank down, or go up? Good luck
if you can call it, I am going to wait and see.
The indices like FTSE don't really tell you what is happening.
The FTSE actually likes bad Brexit news as it weakens the
£ and as a lot of constituents trade in dollars it pushes
the share prices up. Good Brexit news pushes it down.
Different for the UK heavy FTSE 250 companies where
the opposite happens. This all makes life complicated for now.
Companies will all move different ways depending.
I continue to think it isn't so much Brexit is the worry, it's
more if an election comes out of it and the hard left
take over. Then we are really in trouble. Though as I
said before it might make life easier, just bank profits
and go short for 2 years and relax!
I do think one very solid and decent company is Trifast.
I bought Trifast (TRI) at what proved
to be a poor price a while back. But my get out quick
saved me.
I had a look at its results earlier this week - decent!
So I bought them. Looking at the results they really do look
cheap.
The spread is a tad annoying but it is possible to beat it
using DMA - those who have been to seminars hopefully
you have used what I taught you about buying shares
at the "sell" price.
Trifast has been around for 45 years and I was very interested to
read it has started "project atlas" - the idea is after a long
period of growth to spend on harmonising everything
like data, procedures, customer management.
With 1,300 employees and lots of different office in different
countries this is very forward thinking and shows management
is on the ball.
So this time, hoping these will remain in the isa as a long-term
hold for at least in time a return to highs at near 300p.
They have gained a bit since I bought so looking to maybe
buy more on market weakness/profit taking.
Two of my favourite long-term shares reported yesterday
and both reports were so good I topped up with more.
First AB Dynamics. (ABDP) A huge increase in profits for
this car testing outfit. It has found a real niche in car
testing and of course the future is autonomous cars -
what a market this will be!
That's why I topped up and intend to keep holding. Can
you imagine what the price might be in 3 years? It has
a lot of work on, so much so it is opening new premises
and has just launched a state of the art factory where its
first suspension measurement machine is being assembled.
ADBP has a ton of cash too - this one should continue
to accelerate upwards.
The other buy was Avon Rubber (AVON) As you
can expect the shares bounce up and down a lot (!)
Results were excellent for this defence and dairy outfit
which has a shed load of cash. Massive demand from
the USA for its defence masks and a huge
and improving order book.
Again the future looks bright here. And even better for
both shares, no interest from traders because they
are seen as boring as there is no oil involved , no debt,
no jam tomorrow, they aren't penny shares and so
no interest. Which is great for people like me as it
means loads of people aren't buying and selling
like fury to win the cost of a pint of milk.
So I have tucked away more ADBP and AVON and both
should continue to do well Brexit or no.
Spirent (SPT) looks interesting - the communications
tech co updated today and relieved the market.
It got a big order from a large Chinese equipment
maker and picked up decent wins with leading makers
for high speed Ethernet.
So orders in Q3 have showed a strong pick up. Looks
reasonable for a rise in the share price back up
to earlier highs around 140 area.
I've been doing some shorting (betting to go down). I am
always amazed so few people go short. I asked for a show
of hands at a recent seminar for anyone who had ever
shorted. Only two.
If you don't short, how on earth can you make money in
a big down year? It's pretty difficult if you are long only.
Certainty recent shorting of the indices for me brought in
a lot of profit.
I guess most find it hard psychologically. I just look on
it as an extra tool to use to make money from this business.
When shorting I always look for shares where there is
potential for things to go wrong. Or there is big debt.
Sports Direct (SPD) looks like one of those where things
could go wrong. A whole host of
problems, not least the state of retailers but also
the big gambler Mike Ashley.
I get this feeling he hasn't moved with the times and he
keeps on buying . Anyhow I am now short of Sports Direct.
I also shorted Marks and Spencers (MKS) a day or two after
its announcement. On the face of it it wasn't too bad
but many problems lurk.
I feel a bit disloyal given I am currently in there most days
buying food as the Mrs has a broken arm.
The food side of it has been decent but the clothing still
looks in a state. Stores are being closed across the
country. I am afraid I can only see the clothing side getting
worse till that side gets dumped and it goes food only.
There is a long shot of a bid for Marks so in case of that
I have a guaranteed stop. So if anything unexpected happened
my loss would be smallish.
Also shorted is Restaurant Group. (RTN) It's just done a rights issue
to buy Wagamama. It all looks a bit desperate. Wags is a
superb chain but one wonders if they were happy to sell
thinking they got as far as they could with it.
And I am also short of Rightmove. (RMV) This one faces a lot
of competition and the housing market area just
isn't the area to be in for the moment. There is
a lot of competition in its area at the mo too.
And I went short of Just Eat (JE.) again. As above competition
is rife but a guaranteed stop essential here. Just in case
of a bid from a rival. It's doing ok but there are hints that
rivals are stealing crumbs off the table.
Bbox kept falling so sold half for an overall £524 profit. (£365
loss on a badly timed top up.) It was there for the big dividends
and had some nice ones but I can't ignore the dripdown.
I'd held Accesso for so long (6 years plus) when it was called
LOQ buying at under a quid - it did so well motoring through
2000 I literally forgot about it a long time ago. The
original small holding stayed in the isa
and sipp and I simply hadn't even thought about it for so long
more fool me !
I hadn't even realised it went up to 28 quid! But it came up
on a fallers list as it crumbled below 20 and I thought well
I missed the top by a long way but I may as well bank profits now which even so are huge for the site, profit of £37,227.
I think the lesson with even long-termers is that they are there
to be sold if things change and I should have had trailing stops on them. I didn't to the cost of what could have been bigger profits.
However it can be difficult for me, with millions to
look after including SIPP, I inevitably have to have a lot of positions even
with a lot in cash and sometimes you can lose track of something
that's done well bought years ago.
It doesn't matter how long you have been in the markets,
there are always lessons to be learned. It never stops! Whether
you are a beginner or experienced a lot of care is needed
at the moment. Just be cautious! And good luck!
Market conditions of course will be covered in depth at the
beginners/improvers seminar on Dec 3rd. Still space so
mail me if interested.
Stockopedia as ever is SO useful. It really
is a must have! And some fantastic talented writers/commentators too like Paul
Scott.
Brilliant stats on all shares, amazing stock screens and even
discussion boards that are actually sensible and not barmy
blokes having a go at each other as if they were pissed in
a pub. Or weird obsessives.
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If you are thinking of shorting (or the Xmas rally!) cheapest way to short is
as their spread is the tightest at 0.8. Also very
pleased with execution - FTSE cos the cheapest spreads
there too.
SPREADBET FIRMS:
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If you'd like the website material sent to your mailbox so you
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plus one or two exclusive extra higher risk trades not featured on the
site mail me at robbiethetrader with "email" in the
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Trade tables follow! Trades are current open and recently closed trades. Closed trades feature the closing price and the amount I won or lost. All others are open. Trades get updated a little later than the narrative. Trading costs are ignored, however I also do not add in dividend payments and with the kinds of companies I buy, dividends tend to equal or outweigh costs. Spread rollovers ignored for web purposes. Tables as accurate as poss however a mistake or two can creep in and very occasionally if I forgot I sold or bought something it will be added at a later time. Trades first reported in the diary under Markets every other Thursday afternoon.